Nasdaq Shrugs Off 5% Yields to Hit Records, Gold Holds 4322 | Trump TACOs, Oil Falls — the Textbook Fails Again
YouTube title (Cantonese): 今晚全部人打臉!5%債息納指照衝新高 金4322頂住|教科書失效
Disclaimer | Personal analysis, not investment advice
This is the host's personal analysis and opinion, shared for information and education only. It is not investment advice and not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell anything. Prices and figures are as stated during the live stream, and markets move fast. Investing involves risk; leveraged and precious-metals trading can lose all of your capital or more. Past performance is no guide to the future and no return is guaranteed. The host may hold the assets discussed. Make your own decisions and consult a licensed professional if needed.
- Rates hiked, Treasuries at 5%, and the Nasdaq still charges toward all-time highs — money votes with its feet, not with the textbook.
- The dollar can no longer dominate every asset: industrial metals, copper and silver have hard demand from physical AI infrastructure.
- Oil's pullback is a Trump TACO plus a better mood in US–China talks — but Middle East supply isn't fixed, so don't fight the trend.
The textbook says sell tech — the Nasdaq hits records
After the hike, Treasury yields hit 5% and the traditional textbook tells you to sell tech; instead the Nasdaq charged back near all-time highs tonight. Big V's line all along: don't let the market scare you — the world is playing by a set of new financial rules. The old book that says "dollar up means gold must fall" doesn't work today — it's like reading a 30-year-old book to navigate investing in 2026.
Judge the company's quality — don't scare yourself with a chart
In a high-rate era you look at the quality of the business, its funding costs, and whether its earnings cover the interest on what it borrows — which means you need to read financial statements. Panicking because something dropped a lot short term is a trading style that doesn't fit this show — this is about macro and the long run. The AI and robotics behind US tech (hospitals already use robots for surgery) are profitable to an absurd degree; this AI wave isn't the 2003-style dot-com bubble.
“Go with how the money votes — the market is never wrong.”「順應返市場啲錢投票,因為投資市場永遠唔會錯嘅」The only thing that's wrong is our own read | 49:17 original clip
Pricing power: stop using the 2018 and 2020 playbook
High oil prices push up airlines' operating costs, and in the end the customer pays — fares go up. But industries with pricing power (AI models, chips) just pass the increase on to you, so they're barely hurt. That's why you can't keep using the "rate hikes mean every risk asset blows up" script. The dollar can no longer dominate every asset either: prices of essential metals and industrial raw materials are already through the roof.
Oil falls: TACO plus US–China talks, but supply isn't fixed
Oil got smashed tonight because Donald Trump TACO'd again — Big V says Trump chickening out is as routine as eating dinner — and with the US and China meeting again, the mood improved. But US retail gasoline prices, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and Russia's refinery problems are all still there, and the US needs oil prices under control ahead of the midterms. Capacity is falling, so even at 100-something countries will fight for barrels — you can buy gold a year or so later, but you can't go without oil.
Copper and silver: hard demand from physical AI infrastructure
It's not only tech stocks that benefit from AI: every AI base station and piece of physical infrastructure needs huge amounts of metal, which is why copper and silver have demand — and the market has already voted with prices. Countries vote with money too — Poland, for example, sharply increased its gold reserves in a short time. The 10-year yield is moving in a narrow range; tech will be choppy short term, but don't get the direction wrong.
No leverage, and don't blindly follow the experts
Take Korean stocks: lots of people ran 2x, 3x, even 5x leverage and blew up on the first drop. Big V shared that he once tried shorting the Dow against the trend himself; the lesson is don't blindly obey so-called experts — think for yourself. The back half covers how he uses AI for research, robots that execute tasks automatically (token fees even maxed out a credit card), and how AI has massively sped up learning.
“Investing isn't supposed to keep you fucking awake at night.”「投資唔係要做撚到你自己瞓唔著覺」Size your positions so you can still eat and sleep | 1:05:13 original clip
Want to know how Big V reads the market? The frameworks: five-layer transmission, the US can't control everything, gold–dollar decoupling →